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The absorption of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) in the Southern Ocean represents a critical component of the global oceanic carbon budget. Previous assessments of air-sea carbon flux variations and long-term trends in polar regions during winter have faced limitations due to scarce field data and the lack of ocean color satellite imagery, causing uncertainties in estimating CO2 flux estimation. This study utilized the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation satellite to construct a continuous 16-year (2006?2021) time series of sea surface partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) in the Southern Ocean. Our findings revealed that the polar region in South Ocean acts as a carbon sink in winter, with CO2 flux of ?30 TgC in high-latitude areas (South of 50°S). This work highlights the efficacy of active remote sensing for monitoring sea surface pCO2 and contributes insights into the dynamic carbonate systems of the Southern Ocean.

Satellite ocean color observations are extensively utilized in global carbon sink evaluation. However, the valid coverage of chlorophyll-a concentration (Chla, mg m−3) measurements from these observations is severely limited during autumn and winter in high latitude oceans. The high solar zenith angle (SZA) stands as one of the primary contributors to the reduced quality of Chla products in the high-latitude Southern Ocean during these seasons. This study addresses this challenge by employing a random forest-based regression ensemble (RFRE) method to enhance the quality of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Chla products affected by high SZA conditions. The RFRE model incorporates the color index (CI), band-ratio index (R), SZA, sensor zenith angle (senz), and Rayleigh-corrected reflectance at 869 nm (Rrc(869)) as predictors. The results indicate that the RFRE model significantly increased the MODIS observed Chla coverage (1.03 to 3.24 times) in high-latitude Southern Ocean regions to the quality of standard Chla products. By applying the recovered Chla to re-evaluate the carbon sink in South Ocean, results showed that the Southern Ocean’s ability to absorb carbon dioxide (CO2) in winter has been underestimated (5.9–18.6 Tg C year−1) in previous assessments. This study underscores the significance of improving the Chla products for a more accurate estimation of winter carbon sink in the Southern Ocean.

Sea surface fugacity of carbon dioxide (fCO₂ssw) was measured across the Weddell gyre and the eastern sector in the Atlantic Southern Ocean in autumn. During the occupation between February and April 2019, the region of the study transect was a potential ocean CO₂ sink. A net CO₂ flux (FCO₂) of −6.2 (± 8; sink) mmol m^–2 d^–1 was estimated for the entire study region, with the largest average CO₂ sink of −10.0 (± 8) mmol m^–2 d^–1 in the partly ice-covered Astrid Ridge (AR) region near the coast at 68°S and −6.1 (± 8) mmol m^–2d^–1 was observed in the Maud Rise (MR) region. A CO₂ sink was also observed south of 66°S in the Weddell Sea (WS). To assess the main drivers describing the variability of fCO₂ssw, a correlation model using fCO₂ and oxygen saturation was considered. Spatial distributions of the fCO₂ saturation/O₂ saturation correlations, described relative to the surface water properties of the controlling variables (chlorophyll a, apparent oxygen utilization (AOU), sea surface temperature, and sea surface salinity) further constrained the interplay of the processes driving the fCO₂ssw distributions. Photosynthetic CO₂ drawdown significantly offsets the influence of the upwelling of CO₂-rich waters in the central Weddell gyre and enhanced the CO₂ sink in the region. FCO₂ of −6.9 mmol m^–2 d^–1 estimated for the Weddell gyre in this study was different from FCO₂ of −2.5 mmol m^–2 d^–1 in autumn estimated in a previous study. Due to low CO₂ data coverage during autumn, limited sea-air CO₂ flux estimates from direct sea-surface CO₂ observations particularly for the Weddell gyre region are available with which to compare the values estimated in this study. This highlights the importance of increasing seasonal CO₂ observations especially during autumn/winter to improving the seasonal coverage of flux estimates in the seasonal sea ice-covered regions of the Southern Ocean.

The ocean's ability to take up and store CO2 is a key factor for understanding past and future climate variability. However, qualitative and quantitative understanding of surface-to-interior pathways, and how the ocean circulation affects the CO2 uptake, is limited. Consequently, how changes in ocean circulation may influence carbon uptake and storage and therefore the future climate remains ambiguous. Here we quantify the roles played by ocean circulation and various water masses in the meridional redistribution of carbon. We do so by calculating streamfunctions defined in dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) and latitude coordinates, using output from a coupled biogeochemical-physical model. By further separating DIC into components originating from the solubility pump and a residual including the biological pump, air-sea disequilibrium, and anthropogenic CO2, we are able to distinguish the dominant pathways of how carbon enters particular water masses. With this new tool, we show that the largest meridional carbon transport occurs in a pole-to-equator transport in the subtropical gyres in the upper ocean. We are able to show that this pole-to-equator DIC transport and the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)-related DIC transport are mainly driven by the solubility pump. By contrast, the DIC transport associated with deep circulation, including that in Antarctic bottom water and Pacific deep water, is mostly driven by the biological pump. As these two pumps, as well as ocean circulation, are widely expected to be impacted by anthropogenic changes, these findings have implications for the future role of the ocean as a climate-buffering carbon reservoir.

We examine the response of the Community Earth System Model Versions 1 and 2 (CESM1 and CESM2) to abrupt quadrupling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations (4xCO2) and to 1% annually increasing CO2 concentrations (1%CO2). Different estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) for CESM1 and CESM2 are presented. All estimates show that the sensitivity of CESM2 has increased by 1.5 K or more over that of CESM1. At the same time the transient climate response (TCR) of CESM1 and CESM2 derived from 1%CO2 experiments has not changed significantly—2.1 K in CESM1 and 2.0 K in CESM2. Increased initial forcing as well as stronger shortwave radiation feedbacks are responsible for the increase in ECS seen in CESM2. A decomposition of regional radiation feedbacks and their contribution to global feedbacks shows that the Southern Ocean plays a key role in the overall behavior of 4xCO2 experiments, accounting for about 50% of the total shortwave feedback in both CESM1 and CESM2. The Southern Ocean is also responsible for around half of the increase in shortwave feedback between CESM1 and CESM2, with a comparable contribution arising over tropical ocean. Experiments using a thermodynamic slab-ocean model (SOM) yield estimates of ECS that are in remarkable agreement with those from fully coupled Earth system model (ESM) experiments for the same level of CO2 increase. Finally, we show that the similarity of TCR in CESM1 and CESM2 masks significant regional differences in warming that occur in the 1%CO2 experiments for each model.

Winter to summer CO2 dynamics within landfast sea ice in McMurdo Sound (Antarctica) were investigated using bulk ice pCO2 measurements, air-snow-ice CO2 fluxes, dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), total alkalinity (TA), and ikaite saturation state. Our results suggest depth-dependent biotic and abiotic controls that led us to discriminate the ice column in three layers. At the surface, winter pCO2 supersaturation drove CO2 release to the atmosphere while spring-summer pCO2 undersaturation led to CO2 uptake most of the time. CO2 fluxes showed a diel pattern superimposed upon this seasonal pattern which was potentially assigned to either ice skin freeze-thaw cycles or diel changes in net community production. In the ice interior, the pCO2 decrease across the season was driven by physical processes, mainly independent of the autotrophic and heterotrophic phases. Bottom sea ice was characterized by a massive biomass build-up counterintuitively associated with transient heterotrophic activity and nitrate plus nitrite accumulation. This inconsistency is likely related to the formation of a biofilm. This biofilm hosts both autotrophic and heterotrophic activities at the bottom of the ice during spring and may promote calcium carbonate precipitation.